It was located to the south of Melbourne's central business district and covered an area of approximately 40 km 2 around the north and north-eastern shores of Port Phillip Bay . Do automatic recounts apply to 3CP counts? West Melbourne, a 10-square-mile enclave nestled between its larger neighbors of Melbourne and Palm Bay, moved to support its own water plant to meet the needs of the growing city. Live scores Keep across all the live scores and results from the Australian Open at Melbourne Park Melbourne - Federal Election 2022 Share 86.9 % turnout, final figures GRN retain Adam Bandt elected 12.4% swing from GRN Preference count Labor Party Keir Paterson 39.8% 38,456 Greens Adam Bandt MP 60.2% 58,050 50% Six candidates are vying for three seats on the Melbourne City Council on the Nov. 8 ballot, with hopes of helping guide governmental operations of one of the Space Coast's dominant economic communities. I think Albo will be popular come 2025 but Joshs failure to change mental health policy will be damaging in such a progressive seat such as Macnamara. . As our community continues its development, it is crucial to identify infrastructure and resources necessary to support responsible growth. Melbourne Ports was first won in 1901 by Protectionist candidate Samuel Mauger, who had been a state MP for one year before moving into federal politics. It is named in honour of Dame Annie Jean Macnamara DBE, 1899-1968. GRN 28,657. And Vice Mayor Julie Sanders faces Adam Woodworth in the District 6 race. The Greens candidate will again be Steph Hodgins-May, a lawyer who contested Ballarat in 2013, Melbourne Ports in 2016 and Macnamara in 2019. But I agree with comments on this blog that both Bowes and Green have not called it for Labour, which does not mean that they believe Greens have it, just that it is too close to call. Wills ( ALP 8.5% v GRN) is the seat for former Labor Prime Minister Bob Hawke and runs north-west between Merri Creek and Moonee Ponds Creek from inner-city Brunswick to the Western Ring Road. First Issue: Restoring the Indian River Lagoon. Melbourne is already a great place, in my opinion. Issues such as these shouldnt be decided on emotions. Therefore, just say Libs are averaging 26% and Labor 29% on new batches, after minor preferences (others are currently averaging around 12%) they are basically getting around 30.5% each on 3PP terms, which means the Liberals lead isnt going away. Paterson works in mental health and runs programs and interventions to make workplaces more psychologically safe and mentally healthy. Further, I will continueto support the creation of a West Melbourne Fire Department. Sure, the 2CP run-off will be revealed upon the throw of all preferences. Holding was replaced by Michael Danby in 1998, and Danby held the seat for the next two decades, retiring in 2019. The West Finger Pier is a good vantage point to view the ships. The city of more than 28,000 residents has a $50 million budget, and is set to complete its own water plant in December 2026. Greens 31.50% 3. On those boundaries, for decades it was one of the safest Labor seats in the country, and Labor usually easily retained it even during severe nationwide defeats for Labor. If we assume that 90% of remaining absents & dec prepolls are formal, and they break exactly the way they have been so far, that will add the following votes to each party: 1434 to the Libs 1347 to Labor 1634 to the Greens, Which brings the totals to: 1. The red line in the chart below highlights how strong Labor's two-party preferred vote is in Melbourne compared to Victoria as a whole, consistently 15-20% higher. The graph of first preference votes below shows rising Green support at the expense of Labor, a pattern repeated in many inner-Melbourne electorates. And all it will take is slightly weaker flows for them, particularly from the postal votes, or just less postal votes being returned, for Labor to stay ahead of them. In 2018, the Australian Electoral Commission proposed renaming Melbourne Ports as Macnamara, after medical scientist Dame Jean Macnamara. Growth will continue in West Melbourne. Contents 1 Members 2 Election results 2.1 Elections in the 2010s 2.2 Elections in the 2000s The other three members of the City Council Mayor Hal Rose, and Councilors Pat Bentley, Daniel McDow and Stephen Phrampus have terms that run until 2024. Stephen Mayne will be the moderator. Rachael Bassett andAlison Dietrich are competing for the District 4 seat. Political/government/civic experience: West Melbourne city councilwoman since November 2009 and current deputy mayor, Chairman of the Space Coast Transportation Planning Organization since 2019, Member and current vice chair, Brevard County Tourist Development Council since 2018, 2021 president of the Space Coast League of Cities, Board member of the Metropolitan Planning Organization and board member of theMetropolitan Planning Organization Advisory Council, Board member of the Florida League of Cities Land Use and Economic Development, Website, Facebook, other social media pages/links: I dont have a specific Facebook page for my campaign. Conceding and declaring victory is only a formality. I will continueto support the creation of a West Melbourne Fire Department," Dittmore said. The event was moderated by Stephen Mayne. He won preselection against Simon Crean, son of Frank. Shifts east losing Kensington to Maribyrnong in the west while gaining Clifton Hill from Cooper in the east, and a part of Brunswick East from Wills. LIB 29,202 2. Cruise seasons usually run from spring to autumn and Station Pier is closed to the public when cruise ships are berthed. This is a mathematical certainty that labour will be in top two primary count. The former Labor members are Jim Matthews 1906-1931, E.J.Holloway 1931-1951, Frank Crean 1951-1977, Clyde Holding 1977-1998 and Michael Danby 1998-2019. I've heard lots of folks' concerns to everything ranging from stormwater runoff in the lagoon to age-friendly inclusion in the newly developed downtown areas. Canadian airline coming: Sunwing Airlines to launch service from Melbourne to three Canadian cities in December, New police headquarters: Melbourne leaders dedicate $32 million police headquarters to force's lone fallen officer, Occupation:Realtor, private investigator, process server, notary, Education:Course study of sociology, with a concentration in forensic psychology, at Massachusetts College of Liberal Arts, Political/government/civic experience:911 dispatcher; Space Coast Young Republicans; NAACP Legal Redress Team; attends Melbourne Police Community Relations Council meetings; 18th District process server, Campaign email:rachael4melbourne@gmail.com, Website, Facebook, other social media pages/links:rachael4melbourne.com;Facebook: Rachael Bassett for Melbourne City Council. This made Adam Bandt the first Green to win a seat in the House of Representatives at a general election. I would argue if they preferenced the cookers last and Michael OBrien was the leader they would have done better here. Occupation:Environmental health physicist, Education: Bachelor of Science in physics, University of Central Florida, Master of Science in health physics, Georgia Tech, Political/government/civic experience:U.S. Navy, enlisted, 1980-1990; U.S. Department of Energy Nuclear Engineering and Health Physics Fellow (1991-1995); associate professor and chair, Department of Health Physics, University of Nevada, Las Vegas (1995-2004); U.S. Air Force scientist, 2004-2022; president of church congregational council (2017-2021); member of West Melbourne Board of Adjustments (2019-2022), member of School Advisory Committees (Suntree Elementary, 2006-2009; Longleaf Elementary, 2010-2012; West Melbourne School for Science, 2013-2015). ), meaning any 2CP combination is still possible. Had the 2013 election's 66% flow of Liberal preferences to Labor occurred in 2010, then Adam Bandt would not have won Melbourne. Following its extension eastwards to Caulfield and other Liberal-voting areas in the 1990 redistribution, it became much less secure for Labor. Now we have the Libs ahead of Labor by 137 votes, and the Greens only 208 votes behind, with still the following remaining: Provisionals (always favour Greens) Reports of 1000 Covid votes (both parties expect to favour Greens) Still a total 4648 postals issued but not counted. Other suburbs include Elwood, Balaclava, Elsternwick, Ripponlea, Middle Park, Albert Park and South Melbourne. City Hall topics in recent months have included proposed downtown mixed-use developments, ongoing development in the city's Eau Gallie area and lack of affordable housing, among other issues. Thoroughfares like Hotham and Glen Eira make better boundaries. (Melbourne local time. (Victories by a party of government are indicated by thick coloured underlining. Labor 32.94% 2. This will not onlyprovide tax savings, it will allow for a more equitable taxation of the residents of West Melbourne. It is absolutely ridiculous that the ABC and Pollbludger is being conservative on their calls. Bandt describes himself as a book nerd and live music fan and at the time of his election was completing a PhD in Law and Politics at Monash University. Agree, Dan M, also need to note that much of Prahran is also in Macnamara in all 3 seats the Libs overperformed their federal results in May and like what we saw in their elite heartland there was some recovery these seats (taking into account more right-wing minor parties this time like FFV) compared to 2018. Four candidates are vying for three seats on the West Melbourne City Council in the Nov. 8 election, with a number of issues involving infrastructure on the table. Continue moving West Melbourne toward independence by building a potable water facility. Labor candidate Josh Burns won Macnamara in 2019. This service may include material from Agence France-Presse (AFP), APTN, Reuters, AAP, CNN and the BBC World Service which is copyright and cannot be reproduced. A successful businesswoman, Bernadene has been a resident for 20 years in the electorate of Macnamara. Schultz is an Elwood local and long been a passionate advocate for social and environmental change and is campaigning for change to agricultural practices, for both animal protection and to combat the effects of climate change. . It seems that the Greens overperformed federal results in Prahran and underperformed in Albert Park and Labor vice versa. He has previously worked as a teacher's aide and a factory hand, and before the 2019 election was a Senior Adviser to the Premier of Victoria, Daniel Andrews. Neighborhoods with flooding issues are already planned during 2023-24 budget year. Where possible, the natural flow and filtering of runoff must be restored. The Greens are only 495 votes behind Labor in the 3CP count. Immediately below is the video of the event. I only have the Greens beating Labor by about 50 votes which would be an automatic recount.. Macnamara is the new name adopted for the seat known since Federation as Melbourne Ports. Harkin undertook secondary schooling was at Presentation College, Windsor, where she was an avid debater and State finals speaker). Liberal 30.69% 4. The 2022 Federal Election: A Meet the Candidates was held on 3rd mat at the boyd community Hub. He was elected Leader after the 2019 election. Another phenomenal result for the Greens. 1422 are remaining and they are breaking 24.8% LIB, 27.9% ALP, 34.2% GRN, 13.2% Other. Currently [83.41% point] ALP lead Liberals by 4 420 and Greens by 3 873. Just to clarify Daniel, Liberals currently lead Labor by 50 votes on the 3CP, but the rstes at which new votes are breaking, after the Libs outpace Labor 3:1 on minor preferences, is actually adding to that lead, not reducing it. Redistribution Macnamara lost Windsor to Higgins. "It must be in a smart, resilient and low-impact manner., Occupation: Small-business owner and nonprofit executive director, Education: Doctorate of public administration (in-progress); master's in educational leadership; bachelor's in elementary education. Preferences from fourth & further candidates total 21.8%, but 14% is with right wing groups which favoured Liberals over Labour over Greens strongly in 2019. The Greens finished a close third in 2007, passing the Liberals on preference transfers to finish second to Labor. The last batch of postal votes broke 26.7% LIB, 28.5% ALP, 33.2% GRN, 11.6% Other. My prediction here is that the Greens will probably fall *just* short of knocking Labor out of second place, because just too much has to go right for them with such a small margin of error for it to happen. Mathews held Melbourne Ports for a quarter of a century, retiring in 1931. (See the graph below for first preference votes in Melbourne Ports/Macnamara since 1984.) He represented construction workers before the Cole Building Industry Royal Commission, represented unions and workers during the Ansett insolvency, and states that he was involved in prosecuting some of Australia's biggest clothing companies for breaches of laws designed to prevent the exploitation of outworkers. Results ranged from 56.9% at Library at the Dock in Docklands to 87.4% at the Sacred Heart School in Fitzroy. It covers an area of approximately 40 sq km around the north and north-eastern shores of Port Phillip Bay. What I care about is the community of people. document.getElementById( "ak_js_1" ).setAttribute( "value", ( new Date() ).getTime() ); Enter your email address to subscribe to this blog and receive notifications of new posts by email. It is named for the fact that, at the time of its creation, it was centred on Port Melbourne and Williamstown, both major ports. This is all bad news for Labor because it means the Greens are rapidly catching them, while the Liberals are pulling away from them. Melbourne Ports had been a tight three-way contest in 2016, Labor's Michael Danby staying narrowly ahead of the Greens to eventually win a narrow victory over the Liberals on Green preferences. The exclusion of the Green then elected Michael Danby with 51.4% of the two-party preferred vote. Council members also comprise three of the seven members of the Melbourne Airport Authority, which will overseea proposed $41 million budget next year. Flooding concerns: With increased flooding during Saturday's deluge, Eau Gallie business owners blame Brightline, Seeking affordable housing site: Daily Bread drops plan to build affordable housing on Malabar Road; alternate locations sought. Use tab to navigate through the menu items. Long post I know, but in short the Liberals are already ahead of Labor on 3CP terms, and if vote continue to break exactly as they have been, they grow their lead while the Greens continue to catch up. The votes in these categories already counted are favouring Greens by a good enough margin to close the gap between Labor and Greens on primary which makes it likely for Greens to overtake Labor on minor Party preferences at the 3pp stage. Support local journalism. I was thinking Mcnamara was a certain Labor retain at least on Election night but at this stage I think Greens would be favourites to win Mcnamara. What they care about is what matters to me. Macnamara has a large Jewish population, and Michael Danby often argued against giving the Greens preferences in Melbourne Ports because of Green support for Palestinian causes. Tel: +61 3 9646 8544Email: Incredibly close, basically meaning minor preference flows could eliminate any one of the 3, especially since 4 of the minors are right wing and Labor are likely to get the least minor preferences. To make a comment or suggest a change to the election site, pleasecontact us. Labor 33.48% (31,149) 3. Locations and shipping agents' contact details, below. Continue work on West Melbourne flooding issues. The departure of Danby in 2019 saw a boost in Labor vote, though whether this was a coincidence with of consequence of Danby's departure is impossible to say. Cleaner, Artist, Operations Clerk and more on Indeed.com Port Melbourne Candidate Jobs in Melbourne VIC (with Salaries) 2022 | Indeed.com Australia The seven-member City Council will have three contested seats on the November general electionballot: Districts 2, 4 and 6. Newspoll-You Gov actually picked up a bounce for the Greens over the last six days before E-Day, and that helps explain why late arriving postals in Macnamara appear to be breaking more to Green than Labour. Simon's brother David also served as Treasurer of Tasmania in the 1990s. shipping.melbourne@gac.com, Tel: +61 3 8645 6900Email: However, the problem they might face in that redistribution scenario is that removing the Liberals best area (Caulfield) would almost certainly drop the Libs to third place and make it an ALP v Greens count where theyd probably have a 5% margin to make up rather than a ~200 vote margin to get into a LIB v GRN count. This was looking like a near-certain Labor retain but every batch of votes that has come in has been breaking exactly the way it needs to for the Greens to win, so basically they just need that to continue through the last 6000+ votes to win the seat, while Labor need the final 6000+ to be sufficiently weaker for *either* the Greens or Liberals for them to retain it. Heres a summary of the current state of play. I will continue to support the implementationof the city's own water plant and will support measures to reducethe risk of flooding in our community. 2018 State Election: A Meet the Candidates for the lower house seat of Albert Park was held at 6pm, on Tuesday, 30th October in the Boyd Community Hub. Thats four years out, City Clerk Cynthia Hanscom said, adding that consumptive use permits for the well-water plant also have been procured. Question now is what becomes of the boundaries at the next election. Results 1983-2019. In Caulfield, the Liberal Party was far out ahead, while the Liberal Party narrowly outpolled Labor in Port Melbourne. I compared it to the Macnamara electorate results in May not the 2018 state results where a Greens ran. Berth locations and shipping agents' contact details, below. Labors primary votes in all three of these electorates went backwards which should set Red flags in Labor HQ. As for the current results as they stand, the AEC has been conducting and publishing a 3CP count and the Liberals are in fact first: https://www.aec.gov.au/news/results-3cp.htm. For the latest information, searchABC Emergency, For the latestweather warnings in the Northern Territory, search onABC Emergency. ALP got 31.8% of the primary vote but 62.3% of the 2PP. I think this is more important then people think. Dan M, this is a fantastic result for the Greens and after a 1 term Labor government they will be in a great position to flip it next time. The Division of Melbourne Ports was an Australian federal electoral division in the inner south-eastern suburbs of Melbourne, Victoria, Australia. To make a comment or suggest a change to the election site, pleasecontact us. It sounds as if Josh Burns doesnt want to win. Please enable scripts and reload this page. (Victories by a party of government are indicated by thick coloured underlining.). Therefore the Greens are rapidly catching up but are not doing so at the expense of the Liberals. She went on to study education, undergraduate and post graduate studies at Institute of Catholic Education, and then completed a masters degree in education at Monash University. Attracting and retaining businesses, while improving our infrastructure to keep up with the growth. It will make a massive difference in how the Albanese government is seen. The Green margin versus the Liberal Party rises from 21.8% to 22.6%.There were Green two-candidate preferred majorities in all 32 polling places in 2019, its vote rising above 70% in 22 and 80% in 13. The city, for now, contracts out its fire services to the county. Yesterday ABC only called Brisbane for Greens after the Labour candidate made a concession call to the Green candidate. The city of more than 28,000. ', Greek transport minister resigns over train crash; 36 dead, SoCal storm timeline: More snow, heavier rain expected Wednesday, Peoria police investigating shooting that left 1 dead at Circle K, One-On-One With WJZ: Baltimore Mayor Brandon Scott defends backing BGE Conduit deal, There's no shortage of salt for NYC roads. Support local journalism. Stragan is an award-winning accountant, born in Melbourne to Ukrainian parents. The four candidates are incumbents Diana Adams, John Dittmore and Andrea Young, along U.S. Navy veteran William Johnson, who sits on the city's Board of Adjustments. Lots of renters and young people. Antony Green is the ABC's Chief Elections Analyst. If all the remaining votes, using Kevin Bonhams expectation of 1750 postal votes, break exactly as they currently are, I only have the Greens beating Labor by about 50 votes which would be an automatic recount. To put it simply, the AEC 3CP preference throw, which is now complete for all ballots counted so far, currently has Labor 50 votes behind the Liberals and 495 ahead of the Greens in the 3PP race. The second last exclusion (UAP) is what leapfrogged the Liberals from 3rd to 1st and eliminated the Greens. Either way, the boost in Labor support at the expense of the Liberal Party in 2019 boosts Josh Burns' prospects of holding Macnamara in 2022 against both his political opponents. East of Hotham, the Glen Eira part of St Kilda East is totally different and more similar to Caulfield North. From his post 24 hours ago: All of this amounts to bad news for Labor in its quest for 76 seats, with Brisbane now out of the picture and the odds most likely leaning against them in Macnamara, which I for one thought they had in the bag earlier in the week, and which my results system is continuing to call as Labor retain due to its inability to think in three-party terms.. One more boundary that should change though id the southern one with Goldstein: Glenhuntly Road. That was the Green path to victory in the local state seat of Prahran at the last two state elections. You have entered an incorrect email address! Campaign Email: diana@dianaforcouncil.com, Campaign Facebook page: Facebook.com/DianaForWestMelbourne. A major activity centre like Glenhuntly Road shouldnt be a boundary because the traders on both sides of the road are a single community of interest. But the symbolism is incredibly important, with all the talk both before and after the election about the prospect of minority government and the low major party combined primary vote. You may be trying to access this site from a secured browser on the server. Before being won by Josh Burns in 2019, the electorate had been represented by only five members in 113 years. Liberal vote recovered in parts of Caulfield which isnt good news for Labor holding onto Macnamara at the next election. Her best hope now is that the Liberals smash Labor in the postal votes but thats unlikely. Support local journalism. 3. Steph Hodgins-May did so much better than I expected. Should move up to Glen Eira Road regardless of whether that border will be with Macnamara as it currently is, or Higgins. The Greens could very easily gain this seat if Albanese turns out to be a disappointment and if the looming redistribution removes Caulfield and adds South Yarra and Prahran. Hickey is a qualified primary school teacher, social worker, and family therapist. I post on my regular Andrea Young Facebook and I frequently post on my localNextdoor.comwebsite. Previous Meet the Candidates events include: The 2022 Federal Election: A Meet the Candidates was held on 3rd mat at the boyd community Hub. The Green line plots the Green two-candidate preferred vote against Labor 2007-2013 and against the Liberal Party in 2016 and 2019. Cruise ship schedule 2022-23. https://www.tallyroom.com.au/vic2022/albertpark2022/comment-page-1#comment-776581. Weds, 16th November with Georgie Dragwidge (Indep), Elizabeth Antunovic (Freedom Party) and Cassandra Westwood (Animal Justice Party). As shown by the plot of first preference vote, the Greens have replaced Labor as the major left party in the electorate of Melbourne. Save my name, email, and website in this browser for the next time I comment. The Greens are also targetting this seat with the goal of overtaking Labor and winning. Political/government/civic experience: West Melbourne City Council (appointed June 2022); secretary of Space Coast Field of Dreams board; West Melbourne Citizens Leadership Academy; former deputy chair of West Melbourne Parks & Recreation board; former Brevard educator; Transportation & Intergovernmental Relations Policy Committee member; member of the Melbourne, Palm Bay, Titusville and Cocoa Beach chambers of commerce; and LEAD Brevard board member. @ Bingo i was not trying to make a political point but when i said Greens underperformed in Albert Park. Macnamara covers the port and bayside suburbs of Melbourne south of the Yarra, as well as suburbs to the south-east beyond Punt Road between Dandenong and Glen Huntly Roads. Trent had already calculated the breakdown of the primary vote for Albert Park based on the May federal results. The first preference vote graph is reflected in many inner-Melbourne electorate, with a rise in Green support mirrored by a decline in Labor first preference vote. And silver medals can be distr oh wait. Assume no leap in turnout leaves 8 792 votes remaining to be counted, less 6.44% informal rate (566 votes) = 8 226 votes;- are not sufficient from which Green & Liberals can find 8 295 primary votes. So let's figure it out. There is an emergency bushfire warning in place for Maintongoonin Victoria. So the Liberals have no catching up to do to stay in the top two, because theyre already first by 50 votes. LIB 30,636 2. . Steph Hodgins-May Candidate for Macnamara (prev. The Victorian redistribution in general will be fascinating. But, because the margins are so slim, what favours Labor is that it wont take much of a change to how votes are breaking (either Libs or Greens start doing worse) for them to stay in the top two and win. First, the trend occurred first in Melbourne before it was followed in Batman, Wills, Melbourne Ports and Higgins. The 4PP results were: 1. On paper the final boundaries have minimal impact on Labor's margin, nudging it down a percentage from 6.2% to 4.9%. Booths have been divided into three areas: Port Melbourne, St Kilda and Caulfield. Mandy Nolan Candidate for Richmond Steph Hodgins-May Candidate for Macnamara (prev. Theres an estimated 6500 ballots left to count, and if they continue to break the same way they currently are, and Covid votes also favour the Greens, they will be on track to erase that deficit, while the strong preference flow to the Libs also keeps them ahead of Labor, dropping Labor to third place. Listing of Victorian Ports Corporation (Melbourne) Notices to Mariners for the current calendar year and those in force at 1 January of the current year. These are the two issues that I plan to be talking about, Young said. Every pollster, except Resolve Strategic, overestimated Labour support and Essential correctly called L/NP support. 1. Political/government/civic experience: U.S. Coast Guard veteran; educator inradiologic technology; four Afghanistan deployments with the Department of Defense contractorRemote Medical International; Golf Club Estates Civic Associationboard of directors and treasurer, Campaign email:alison.dietrich@brevardhealth.org, Website, Facebook, other social media pages/links: None listed. Was followed in Batman, Wills, Melbourne Ports and Higgins time comment! An area of approximately 40 sq km around the north and north-eastern shores of Port Phillip Bay only votes., passing the Liberals from 3rd to 1st and eliminated the Greens are targetting! Primary count overestimated Labour support and Essential correctly called L/NP support primary count Division... 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